Is the current “Mexican” swine flu a dangerous super bug destined to become a global pandemic illness, sweeping through the world and killing 55 millions of people like it’s 1918 cousin? The short answer is No! Not Likely! In examining the reasons for this muted response, which flies in the face of popular media hype, it is useful to contrast the epidemiology, and viral disease characteristics of the yearly “Seasonal flu, with those seen in this current off-season outbreak of swine flu.
Each year between October and March from 22 - 45 thousand people in the United States die of complications from the usual “Seasonal” flu. Most of these do not succumb to the direct effects of the influenza virus, but rather they die from sepsis and respiratory failure due to secondary bacterial pneumonia, which follows the congestion and debilitation of the primary flu illness. Enough people die to depopulate a small city. That is why the vaccine is so necessary for the most susceptible in our population (the old, the very young, & the debilitated), and is recommended for the general population - it is the primary preventive medicine for Influenza. Once acquiring Influenza it becomes a matter of individual constitution, condition, access to care, and treatment modalities which determine the degree of morbidity and mortality for cases.
A novel vaccine is developed annually, which covers several of the most likely extrapolated viral Influenza antigens predicted to be extant in that years upcoming “Seasonal” flu. In most years this vaccine effectively confers immunity to the circulating “Seasonal” strain. For those who do not receive the vaccination, there are a variety of anti-viral medications which may work to a variable degree on that year’s flu, depending on its strain’s resistance profile. Analgesics, antipyretics, antihistamines, decongestants, and antitussives are frequently used to mediate influenza symptoms. Antibiotics are often administered to prevent or treat secondary bacterial pulmonary infections and pneumonia.
The current “Mexican” swine flu is an off season variation whose genetics appear to be a recombination of avian, human, and swine flus. NO vaccine for the “Mexican” swine flu presently exists although efforts are underway to rapidly produce one. There is also NO effective rapid swab test available. Those who have had multiple vaccinations for “Seasonal” influenza over the many years since the 1976 swine flu vaccine, MAY have some conferred resistance, but this is NOT known, and the 1976 swine flu vaccine by itself confers NO immunity to this current strain.
Therefore, in the general population, other prevention methods must be employed, these include : hand washing, antiseptic hand gels, appropriately sized aerosol masks, wiping of door knobs and contact surfaces (10% bleach wipes); & avoiding crowds, institutions, or congregations, especially if endemic or epidemic to your area. On a more personal level, rest, eating well, dining at home, and staying home if you are ill, will help prevent exposure and spread of the flu. Asking co-workers to go home for the safety of other employees and customers, is appropriate when they present with flu-like symptoms, including headache, fever, muscle aches, chills, cough, nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, & sore throat.
Calculations from present statistics indicate the current “Mexican” swine flu is exhibiting approximately a 20% attack rate (from confirmed aerosol exposures), a 40% case rate (of confirmed attacks), and approximately 1.0 -1.5% fatalities in cases among under-served populations. By contrast “Seasonal” flu has an attack rate around 15% of aerosol exposures, with a case rate of between 20 and 30%, and an overall lethality of about 0.5 - 0.75% in cases among under-served populations. As such, the “Mexican” Swine flu (statistically) is more virulent, with less nascent resistance apparent among the exposed populations.
Although the “Mexican” swine flu is exhibiting a somewhat higher attack rate and lethality than its more “Seasonal” cousin, it is early in its presumed epidemic course. As more statistics are gathered, and reporting errors become less confounding, the statistics surrounding the “Mexican” swine flu may come to more closely resemble that patterning of the more common “Seasonal” strain.
According to some reports there does seem to be an intrinsic lethality with the “Mexican” swine flu, which is striking down younger otherwise healthy adults. This intrinsic complication of influenza is from the occurrence of a pulmonary edema which mimics that seen in the 1918 flu. Thus far however, this complication is considerably less evident in the contemporary version of swine flu, than it was in its 20th century predecessor. The preponderance of current lethalities are still from potentially treatable, indirect, secondary pneumonia, and again these are predominantly among impoverished, debilitated, and under served populations.
Regardless, this contemporary out of season influenza is nowhere near the lethal, pandemic horror that it is feared be, and perhaps does not warrant the widespread quarentine and restriction of public gatherings that have been proposed. Beyond that, this current “Mexican” swine flu outbreak is still JUST influenza, not some super infection out of Science Fiction. Accordingly, although there is as yet no vaccine, this novel flu strain IS susceptible to antiviral treatment with Tamiflu and Relenza. Coupled with prudent symptomatic care and rapid follow up in hospital for severe complications, the morbidity and mortality incidence should not greatly exceed that of the usual “Seasonal” variety.
“Mexican” Swine Flu
May 2nd, 2009Responding to Wasp Sting Allergies
February 7th, 2009With the approach of warmer weather the incidence of patients presenting to Hospital Emergency Rooms with insect stings increases dramatically. The 6 major stinging insects in the United States are Fire ants, Bumble Bees, Honey Bees (including “Africanized” strains), Yellow Jackets, Hornets, and Wasps. The latter 5 are all classified as Bees, belonging to the order Hymenoptera. Bumble Bees and Honey Bees are in the family Apidae, while Yellow Jackets, Hornets, and Wasps are in the family Vespidae.
Wasps fall into three broad varieties; colonial nest builders, individual mud daubers, and solitary ground dwellers. In contrast to Hornets and Honey Bees whose colonies may number upwards of 50,000 insects, Wasp colonies number relatively few individuals, often no more than 10 adults, but may in the case of long established nests number into the thousands. These Wasp Nest builders form discreet open hive colonies usually located under housing eaves, but may be found attached under benches, overturned outdoor furniture, unused grills, or any above ground site that is dry, and relatively protected from rain, or molestation by animals. Ground dwelling wasps and mud dauber wasps are by contrast solitary, living in burrows or mud “pipes” housing the egg laying parent and her 5 to 25 offspring.
As members of the order Hymenoptera Wasps have envenomed stingers that may cause a variety of responses from small or large localized reactions, to anaphylaxis, serum sickness or venom intoxication. The later three may lead to hypotension, systemic organ failure, collapse, and death. Twice as many people die from Hymenoptera stings than die from snake bites in this country, about 40 annually. Most stinging incidents are chance encounters with solitary foraging bees who become trapped or entangled in their contact with a person. While even a single sting for the first time may result in life threatening anaphylaxis, the actual incidence is less than 3 in one thousand. However, in those incidents where people are injured, they most often involve encounters with colonial or social Bee’s & Wasp’s Nests and may result in multiple stings with massive envenomation. While Yellow Jackets are the most aggressive, and the scourge of sugar laden field picnics, they tend to be fringe field and forest burrowers, thus come into contact only with people who noisily intrude into their territory. Similarly, Hornets and wild Honey Bee nests are usually located away from human habitations. It is Wasp colonies however, who by nesting under housing eaves and in proximity to human dwellings and possessions, that are most likely to make aggressive defensive contact with people.
The Hymenoptera stinger is a modified egg laying apparatus at the posterior thorax, composed of a stinger shaft containing a stationary stylet and two sliding barbed lancets, which together form a hollow channel through which venom may be delivered. Muscles in the stinger apparatus slide the lancets back and forth along the fixed stylet shaft, burrowing the barbs into the skin, and holding that contact long enough to inject the venom hypodermically, by pumping it into the tissues reached by the barbed lancets. Wasp stingers have short barbs which burrow but do not embed in tissue, and as a result may be easily removed by the sliding action, so that Wasps may sting multiple times without harm to themselves.
The biodiversity of Wasp species is great although most stinging events are attributed to the colonial genera Vespa, Vespula, and Dolichovespula. Their venom’s are just as diverse due to the above phylogenetic differences but also to the different functions that their venom is employed to serve. Wasps use their venom in colony defense, offensively against prey to be consumed, and as a method for immobilizing live prey, into whom they secrete their eggs, and which then allows their emerging offspring to feed on the living tissues free from molestation. Generally wasp venom is a dynamic biological ’soup’ that contains active amines like : serotonin : histamine: tyramine : pain kinins (like bradykinins) : catecholamines : mastoparans (histamine triggering peptides) : weak allergens like phospholipase A, B, & hyaluronidase, and the most active allergen # 5. Acetyl-Choline & Neurotoxins may also be found in some species’ venom, as may a suspected nephrotoxin.
Wasp venom disrupts mammalian cell membranes, releasing cellular components, altering ion channels, triggering inappropriate nerve depolarization, and stimulating extensive pain, but often causing little real tissue damage, except when the toxic effects of accumulated venom from multiple stings causes widespread hemolysis, rhabdomyolysis, & direct tissue necrosis, with resulting tissue & organ failures. Initial toxic responses may include diaphoresis, malaise, nausea, vomiting, & diarrhea. Renal damage often from protein byproducts of hemolysis & rhabdomyolysis, is the most common toxic outcome, usually occurring in the first 24 hr. Death from renal failure & cardiac arrest have occured from 4 hours to 9 days after envenomation. recovery may take three to six weeks. The lethal dose of wasp venom (apart from allergic anaphylaxis) varies by species. Vespa species can deliver large venom doses with half of fatalities occuring at 1.6 to 4.2 mg/kg and might involve as few as 50 stings. Smaller Vespula species are common to the U.S. deliver less venom amounts, and that venom is itself less potent, with fatalities occuring between at 3.5 to 15 mg/kg involving more than 200 stings. Treatment of toxic envenomation from Wasp stings involves supportive respiratory, renal, & cardiac care, may require serial dialysis, venom immunotherapy, and immune modulation. Recovery may be from 3 to 6 weeks long.
None the less the vast majority of Wasp sting incidents, 997 of every thousand, are benign, with typical symptoms of proximal localized swelling, pruritis, pain, and erythema. These resolve rapidly in 24 hours and respond well to ice, analgesics, & dilute anti itch sticks (ammonia, ascorbate, or baking soda) application. Larger local reactions, with swelling that peaks in 24 to 48 hours and may last up to 10 days are also among these commonoccurrences. These more severe local symptoms are often accompanied by swelling fatigue malaise & nausea; and may be mistaken for cellulitis or secondary infection. ICE, NSAIDS, antihistamines, and corticosteroids whether injected or oral are helpful in resolving these symptoms without further sequelae.
The incidence of Anaphylaxis from Wasp stings is less then 0.3% to 3% in general populations. IgE mediated symptoms appear within 1 to 30 minutes as expanding dermal swelling, general urticaria, hives, flush, and angioedema. These may rapidly progress to life threatening degree with wheeze, larygospasm, respiratory distress, bronchial edema, hypotension, circulatory collapse, irreversible airway obstruction, shock, and death. A majority of anaphylactic deaths are in older individuals with comorbidities (like heart or lung disease), but may occur in any age group. Anaphylaxis recurs in subsequent stings for only about 60% of affected individuals, there is NO predicting who will or will not recur for each incidence. Anaphylaxis is best treated with rapid subcutaneous administration of Epinephrine, followed immediately by Intramuscular injection of high potency steroids, and high potency antihistamines, inhaled bronchodilators may also be used as adjuvant therapy. This should be followed with a 7 day course of oral steroids, antihistamines, and topical steroid cream to the insect sting; as the incidence of relapse out to x1 week post sting has been documented. Immunological (RAST) testing and venom immunotherapy are prophylactic measures to prevent subsequent attacks. Especially sensitive individuals should carry an epi-pen kit, oral antihistamines, and steroids when in high risk environments; and should further take mechanical precautions to prevent stings - long pants, sleeves, boots, gloves, hat, avoid bright clothes, sugary drinks and foods, scents & perfumes, wear insect repellent.
Less common (under 0.1%) are serum sickness type reactions involving arthralgia, urticaria, joint pain, & fever occurring a week to 10 days after Wasp sting exposure, lesser still are immune mediated vasculitis, nephrosis, neuritis, and encephalitis that have a temporal relationship to the sting. Treatment for all these conditions is expectant and involves corticosteroids, NSAIDS, antihistamines, and more rarely still respiratory & cardiac supportive care. Although the incidence of secondary infection from insect stings is low, possible seeding of the sting site with bacteria via pruritic excoriation shortly after the incident is still a possibility. Expectant observation and wound hygiene with providone Iodine solutions should be sufficient to prevent secondary infection. However, in rare instances such a wound may become infected & abscessed in which case incision & drainage, then treatment with a Staphylococcus specific and a mixed polymicrobial antibiotic may be necessary. While acquiring tetanus from an insect sting is highly unlikely, it is advisable to update one’s tetanus vaccination should it be out of date (more than 10 years), or in the event of a subsequent abscess from secondary infection.
In summary with the approach of warm weather, to avoid Wasp stings one should exercise an ounce of prevention. Dress appropriately, wear insect repellents, avoid or spray Wasp nests around the home, then remove them from your domestic proximity. Ensure your vaccinations are up to date, and if you are an anaphylactic prone individual keep emergency medication and the number of an urgent care clinic handy.